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15

Quick Contribution

5yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 42

Sha Tin · Tailorbird Handicap · 7f

#8

Rank

Odds

SP

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: BHA43
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA50 @ Sha Tin 08/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 50 · 7f GF 125 · beat its mark08/06/2025 · OR 50 par8/0650OR 50C0 @ Sha Tin 01/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m Gd 125C0 @ Happy Valley 02/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 6f Gd 1202/11C?BHA46 @ Sha Tin 07/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 46 · 7f Gd 121 · beat its mark07/12/2025 · OR 46 parC0 @ Happy Valley 23/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 12323/12C?C0 @ Happy Valley 07/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 122BHA43 @ Sha Tin 17/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 43 · 7f Goo 120 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 43 par17/0543OR 43BHA44 @ Sha Tin 21/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 44 · 7f Gd 121 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 44 parBHA44 @ Sha Tin 04/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 44 · 7f Gd 120 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 44 par4/0744OR 44projClass-projected finish: 1st of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Sha TinBHA443rd3rd0
2026-06-21Sha TinBHA442nd2nd0
2026-05-17Sha TinBHA432nd2nd0
2026-01-07Happy Valley?7th7th0
2025-12-23Happy Valley?4th4th0
2025-12-07Sha TinBHA468th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/067/1217/054/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength78%

Delivery trend +4.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/06/20255th9/276%69%-0.07
01/07/20256th7/163%62%-0.02
02/11/20252nd11/142%90%+0.48
07/12/20258th7/282%46%-0.35
23/12/20254th2/189%73%-0.17
07/01/20267th13/266%45%-0.20
17/05/20262nd25/10%92%+0.92
21/06/20262nd12/137%92%+0.55
04/07/20263rd5/287%85%-0.02