IvyArcIvyArc
13

Super Love

6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 46

Sha Tin · Tailorbird Handicap · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA60 @ Sha Tin 11/01/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 60 · 7f GF 135 · below its mark11/01/2026 · OR 60 par11/0160OR 60BHA60 @ Sha Tin 14/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 60 · 7f GF 135 · beat its mark14/02/2026 · OR 60 parBHA59 @ Sha Tin 15/03/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 59 · 1m Std 134 · below its mark15/03/2026 · OR 59 par15/0359OR 59C0 @ Happy Valley 22/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 133BHA55 @ Sha Tin 03/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 55 · 6f Gd 133 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 55 par3/0555OR 55BHA54 @ Sha Tin 24/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 54 · 7f Gd 129 · beat its mark24/05/2026 · OR 54 parBHA52 @ Sha Tin 21/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 52 · 6f Gd 127 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 52 par21/0652OR 52BHA50 @ Sha Tin 12/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 50 · 7f GF 127 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 50 parBHA47 @ Sha Tin 06/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 47 · 6f GF 123 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 47 par6/0947OR 47projClass-projected finish: 4th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Sha TinBHA474th4th0
2026-07-12Sha TinBHA504th4th0
2026-06-21Sha TinBHA528th8th0
2026-05-24Sha TinBHA5411th11th0
2026-05-03Sha TinBHA554th4th0
2026-04-22Happy Valley?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0122/0421/066/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +9.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/01/202614th12/137%0%-0.37
14/02/20265th12/137%69%+0.32
15/03/202614th20/10%0%0.00
22/04/202611th33/10%9%+0.09
03/05/20264th25/10%77%+0.77
24/05/202611th18/15%23%+0.18
21/06/20268th40/10%46%+0.46
12/07/20264th12/137%77%+0.40
06/09/20264th40/10%77%+0.77