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4

All's Well

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 66

Sha Tin · Hwamei Handicap · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA55 @ Sha Tin 23/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 55 · 6f Gd 130 · beat its mark23/11/2025 · OR 55 par23/1155OR 55C0 @ Sha Tin 27/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 7f Gd 132BHA57 @ Sha Tin 25/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 57 · 7f GF 132 · beat its mark25/01/2026 · OR 57 par25/0157OR 57C0 @ Sha Tin 22/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 7f Gd 131BHA65 @ Sha Tin 29/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 65 · 7f Gd 122 · below its mark29/03/2026 · OR 65 par29/0365OR 65BHA65 @ Sha Tin 12/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 65 · 7f Gd 123 · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 65 parBHA66 @ Sha Tin 17/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 66 · 7f Goo 126 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 66 par17/0566OR 66BHA67 @ Sha Tin 21/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 67 · 7f Gd 122 · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 67 parBHA67 @ Sha Tin 04/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 67 · 7f Gd 124 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 67 par4/0767OR 67projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Sha TinBHA677th7th0
2026-06-21Sha TinBHA679th9th0
2026-05-17Sha TinBHA662nd2nd0
2026-04-12Sha TinBHA653rd3rd0
2026-03-29Sha TinBHA658th8th0
2026-02-22Sha Tin?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/1122/0217/054/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength5%

Delivery trend -0.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/11/20252nd9/276%92%+0.16
27/12/20254th11/271%77%+0.06
25/01/20268th10/382%46%-0.36
22/02/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
29/03/20268th14/126%30%+0.04
12/04/20263rd7/163%82%+0.19
17/05/20262nd18/15%92%+0.87
21/06/20269th4/179%38%-0.40
04/07/20267th6/168%54%-0.15