9
Packing King
5yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 62
Sha Tin · Hwamei Handicap · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Sha Tin | BHA62 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Sha Tin | BHA61 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Sha Tin | BHA54 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Sha Tin | BHA48 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength89%
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 62% | +0.19 |
| 14/01/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 36% | -0.32 |
| 04/02/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 27% | -0.15 |
| 26/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 85% | +0.06 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 85% | +0.21 |