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Helios Express

7yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 120

Sha Tin · The Celebration Cup (Handicap) - Group 3 · 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

34%

Place Prob

35%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Sha Tin 27/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 110 · 6f Gd 126 · beat its mark27/04/2025 · OR 110 par27/04C?OR 110BHA117 @ Sha Tin 31/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 117 · 6f Gd 123 · beat its mark31/05/2025 · OR 117 parC0 @ Sha Tin 26/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 6f GF 13526/10C?C0 @ Sha Tin 23/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 117 · 6f Gd 123 · beat its mark23/11/2025 · OR 117 parC0 @ Sha Tin 14/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 117 · 6f Gd 126 · beat its mark14/12/2025 · OR 117 par14/12C?OR 117C0 @ Sha Tin 25/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 117 · 6f GF 126 · beat its mark25/01/2026 · OR 117 parBHA117 @ Sha Tin 22/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 117 · 7f Gd 126 · below its mark22/02/2026 · OR 117 par22/02117OR 117C0 @ Sha Tin 06/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 117 · 6f Gd 123 · beat its mark06/04/2026 · OR 117 parC0 @ Sha Tin 26/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 117 · 6f GF 126 · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 117 par26/04C?OR 117projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-26Sha Tin?6th6th0
2026-04-06Sha Tin?2nd2nd0
2026-02-22Sha TinBHA1172nd2nd0
2026-01-25Sha Tin?2nd2nd0
2025-12-14Sha Tin?5th5th0
2025-11-23Sha Tin?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0423/1122/0226/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/04/20253rd28/10%83%+0.83
31/05/20251st8/1597%100%+0.03
26/10/20255th10/382%69%-0.13
23/11/20253rd33/10%78%+0.78
14/12/20255th22/10%67%+0.67
25/01/20262nd20/10%83%+0.83
22/02/20262nd18/15%89%+0.84
06/04/20262nd9/153%83%+0.31
26/04/20266th18/15%29%+0.23