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7

Stormy Grove

5yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 103

Sha Tin · The Celebration Cup (Handicap) - Group 3 · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: BHA65
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Sha Tin 26/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 5f GF 12526/10C?BHA66 @ Sha Tin 23/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 66 · 6f Gd 121 · beat its mark23/11/2025 · OR 66 parC0 @ Sha Tin 27/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 6f Gd 12527/12C?BHA65 @ Sha Tin 11/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 65 · 7f GF 120 · beat its mark11/01/2026 · OR 65 parBHA68 @ Sha Tin 18/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 68 · 1m Gd 126 · beat its mark18/01/2026 · OR 68 par18/0168OR 68BHA68 @ Sha Tin 14/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 68 · 1m GF 125 · beat its mark14/02/2026 · OR 68 parBHA68 @ Sha Tin 01/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 68 · 1m1f Gd 126 · beat its mark01/03/2026 · OR 68 par1/0368OR 68BHA68 @ Sha Tin 22/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 68 · 1m2f GF 126 · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 68 parBHA103 @ Sha Tin 03/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 103 · 1m Yie 135 · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 103 par3/05103OR 103projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-03Sha TinBHA1038th8th0
2026-03-22Sha TinBHA683rd3rd0
2026-03-01Sha TinBHA681st1st0
2026-02-14Sha TinBHA681st1st0
2026-01-18Sha TinBHA684th4th0
2026-01-11Sha TinBHA652nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/1011/011/033/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/10/20256th25/10%62%+0.62
23/11/20253rd33/10%85%+0.85
27/12/20256th13/266%62%-0.04
11/01/20262nd11/142%92%+0.50
18/01/20264th10/382%77%-0.06
14/02/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
01/03/20261st25/10%100%+1.00
22/03/20263rd11/271%85%+0.14
03/05/20268th13/266%30%-0.36