13
Flying Knight
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 63
Sha Tin · Mesia Handicap · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: BHA50
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Sha Tin | BHA63 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Sha Tin | BHA57 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Sha Tin | BHA56 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sha Tin | BHA50 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength51%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 08/02/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 77% | +0.72 |
| 15/03/2026 | 12th | 15/2 | 61% | 15% | -0.45 |
| 06/04/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 03/05/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 21/06/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 13/09/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 46% | +0.09 |