15
Glittering Legend
4yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 72
Sha Tin · Mesia Handicap · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Sha Tin | BHA75 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Sha Tin | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Sha Tin | BHA75 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength71%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 31% | -0.27 |
| 14/02/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 29/03/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 06/05/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 92% | +0.76 |
| 27/05/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 82% | +0.21 |
| 27/06/2026 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 23% | -0.30 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |