10
Nucleozor
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 64
Sha Tin · Mesia Handicap · 1m
#13
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.1)
Highest class: BHA66
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Sha Tin | BHA66 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Sha Tin | BHA67 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Sha Tin | BHA69 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-06-08 | Sha Tin | BHA71 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-05-21 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-04-16 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength66%
Delivery trend +7.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/2025 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 27% | -0.15 |
| 16/04/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 21/05/2025 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 08/06/2025 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |