IvyArcIvyArc
7

Fascinator

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 25

Turffontein · 4Racing Welcomes You Maiden Plate (F & M) · 4f 214y

#6

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

100/1, tenth of 11 in maiden at Vaal (7f, good) 24 days ago. Back down in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 8.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turffontein 23/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 4f214y GS 12723/04C8C8 @ Vaal 02/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1322/07C8C8 @ Vaal 03/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1263/09C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Vaal?10th10th0
2026-07-02Vaal?8th8th0
2026-04-23Turffontein?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/042/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength25%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/04/20268th40/10%0%0.00
02/07/20268th100/10%36%+0.36
03/09/202610th66/10%10%+0.10