5
Shiraz Glow
3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 63
Turffontein · 4Racing Welcomes You Maiden Plate (F & M) · 4f 214y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Vaal | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Vaal | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Vaal | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vaal | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength97%
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 13/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 10/09/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 13% | +0.07 |