3

Stubborn Love

5yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 49

Turffontein · 4Racing Welcomes You Maiden Plate (F & M) · 4f 214y

#4

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fourth of 10 in maiden (25/1) at Vaal (5f, good) 24 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turffontein 01/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 5f169y GS 1301/11C8C8 @ Vaal 03/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1323/09C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Vaal?4th4th0
2025-11-01Turffontein?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/113/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +50.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/11/20259th14/126%43%+0.17
03/09/20264th20/10%67%+0.67