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4

The Bachelorette

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 57

Turffontein · 4Racing Welcomes You Maiden Plate (F & M) · 4f 214y

#1

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

47%

Place Prob

39%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

3/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, fourth of 12 in maiden at Vaal (5f, good) 31 days ago. The one to beat.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turffontein 26/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13226/02C8C9 @ Vaal 28/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12128/05C9C8 @ Vaal 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 12227/08C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Vaal?4th4th0
2026-05-28Vaal?7th8th−1
2026-02-26Turffontein?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0228/0527/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength51%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/02/20262nd10/1195%86%-0.10
28/05/20267th11/893%14%-0.78
27/08/20264th5/287%73%-0.14