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6

Defining Winter

3yo Filly · 9-0

Turffontein · For Hospitality Bookings Call 011 681 1796 Maiden Plate (F & M) · 7f 210y

#6

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

66/1, seventh of 8 in maiden at this course (6f, good) 42 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Very hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 9.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Vaal 02/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1322/07C8C8 @ Vaal 23/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 12623/07C8C8 @ Turffontein 16/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13216/08C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Turffontein?7th7th0
2026-07-23Vaal?9th9th0
2026-07-02Vaal?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0723/0716/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 5-6 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength19%

Delivery trend +7.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/202612th100/10%0%0.00
23/07/20269th50/10%0%0.00
16/08/20267th80/10%14%+0.14