2
Purple Rain
4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 57
Turffontein · For Hospitality Bookings Call 011 681 1796 Maiden Plate (F & M) · 7f 210y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
40%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Turffontein | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Turffontein | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Turffontein | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +27.2% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 14% | -0.71 |
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |
| 19/04/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 13% | -0.48 |
| 10/05/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 04/06/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 19/09/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |