2
Future Date
5yo Mare · 9-6 · OR 84
Turffontein · Play Soccer 6, 10 And 13 Fm 91 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 1m 209y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vaal | ? | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Turffontein | ? | 9th | 8th | +0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Vaal | ? | 10th | 10th | +0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Turffontein | ? | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Turffontein | ? | 8th | 8th | +0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Vaal | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength45%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 05/02/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 19/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 26/03/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 19/04/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 11/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 18/06/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 09/07/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |