7
Play With Fire
6yo Mare · 8-3 · OR 49
Turffontein · Play Soccer 6, 10 And 13 Fm 91 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 1m 209y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Vaal | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Turffontein | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Vaal | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Turffontein | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 6-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 77% | +0.30 |
| 26/05/2026 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 9% | -0.33 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 30/07/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 16/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 17/09/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |