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Tomyris

6yo Mare · 9-7 · OR 78

Turffontein · Play Soccer 6, 10 And 13 Fm 91 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 1m 209y

#5

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Tongue strap on for 1st time, 5½ lengths tenth of 12 to Mocha Blend in Gr 2 (50/1) at Greyville (9.9f, good) 63 days ago. First run for yard after leaving G. Van Zyl (Jnr).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength100%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.1
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Scottsville 25/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASS25/01C5C5 @ Scottsville 15/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 7f101y GS 119 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Scottsville 11/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASS11/03C5C0 @ Scottsville 05/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m154y GS 129C5 @ Scottsville 29/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 7f101y GS 129 · HIGHER CLASS29/04C5C5 @ Greyville 20/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Scottsville 28/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASS28/063C3 @ Greyville 04/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f206y Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Greyville 26/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS26/07C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Greyville?10th4th+5
2026-07-04Greyville?5th2nd+3
2026-06-28Scottsville32nd-1th+3
2026-05-20Greyville?4th3rd+1
2026-04-29Scottsville?3rd2nd+1
2026-04-05Scottsville?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/015/0428/0626/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/01/20265th15/261%64%+0.03
15/02/20267th6/168%50%-0.18
11/03/20267th5/174%0%-0.74
05/04/20262nd10/147%89%+0.42
29/04/20263rd9/488%71%-0.17
20/05/20264th9/488%57%-0.31
28/06/20262nd8/158%86%+0.28
04/07/20265th33/10%60%+0.60
26/07/202610th33/10%18%+0.18