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5

Be My Fate

5yo Mare · 9-1 · OR 63

Turffontein · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Fm 72 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 1m 209y

#4

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. Winner here in May. Creditable third of 9 in handicap (9/2) at Vaal (9.9f, good) 59 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength21%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Vaal 08/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 1328/01C8C8 @ Turffontein 21/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13221/03C8C8 @ Vaal 21/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 1m209y GS 13221/04C8C8 @ Turffontein 16/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13216/05C8C6 @ Vaal 18/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m99y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS18/06C6C7 @ Vaal 30/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS30/07C7projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Vaal?3rd3rd+0
2026-06-18Vaal?3rd3rd+0
2026-05-16Turffontein?1st3rd−1
2026-04-21Vaal?2nd4th−1
2026-03-21Turffontein?4th6th−1
2026-01-08Vaal?6th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0121/0321/0416/0518/0630/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength87%

Delivery trend +0.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/01/20266th28/10%44%+0.44
21/03/20264th7/282%25%-0.57
21/04/20262nd11/486%75%-0.11
16/05/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
18/06/20263rd5/174%78%+0.04
30/07/20263rd4/179%75%-0.04