4
Bold Action
4yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 20
Turffontein · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Fm 72 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 1m 209y
#11
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength50%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Turffontein | ? | 9th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-08-27 | Vaal | ? | 8th | 8th | −0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Vaal | ? | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Turffontein | ? | 10th | 10th | +0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Vaal | ? | 12th | 12th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 30/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 26/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 18/06/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 16/07/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 27/08/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 12/09/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |