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4yo Filly · 8-3 · OR 42

Turffontein · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Fm 72 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 1m 209y

#10

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read

Move▬

Strength66%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.1

Today:

Class gap: +0.7

Higher-class runs: 4

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-17	Vaal	?	7th	4th	+2	5.7
2026-09-03	Vaal	?	6th	6th	−0	3.6
2026-08-06	Vaal	?	4th	1st	+2	8.7
2026-07-30	Vaal	?	6th	6th	+0	4.1
2026-07-21	Turffontein	?	5th	5th	+0	5.2
2026-06-29	Turffontein	?	4th	4th	−0	5.6

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%

▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.7% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
04/05/2026	7th	50/1	0%	25%	+0.25
14/05/2026	12th	100/1	0%	15%	+0.15
26/05/2026	4th	22/1	0%	73%	+0.73
29/06/2026	4th	10/1	47%	73%	+0.25
21/07/2026	5th	16/1	16%	50%	+0.34
30/07/2026	6th	6/1	68%	38%	-0.31
06/08/2026	4th	9/1	53%	75%	+0.22
03/09/2026	6th	13/2	66%	50%	-0.16
17/09/2026	7th	16/1	16%	33%	+0.18