2
Nicci's Law
4yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 72
Turffontein · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Fm 72 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 1m 209y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
50%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Kenilworth | ? | 2nd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Kenilworth | ? | 3rd | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-06 | Kenilworth | ? | 8th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Durbanville | ? | 5th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength66%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 04/03/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 38% | -0.23 |
| 21/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 06/04/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 13% | -0.64 |
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 19/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |