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6

Pretty Analia

7yo Mare · 9-1 · OR 56

Turffontein · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Fm 72 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 1m 209y

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. Latest win at Vaal in June. Seventh of 8 in handicap (4/1) at Vaal (8.4f, good to soft) 17 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Turffontein 07/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 7f210y GS 1277/05C7C7 @ Vaal 21/05/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 130C6 @ Turffontein 04/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 117 · HIGHER CLASS4/06C6C6 @ Vaal 18/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m99y Gd 117 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Turffontein 09/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS9/07C6C7 @ Turffontein 16/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Vaal 30/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS30/07C7C7 @ Turffontein 08/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 131C7 @ Vaal 10/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m99y GS 12910/09C7projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Vaal?7th7th−0
2026-08-08Turffontein?3rd3rd−0
2026-07-30Vaal?7th7th+0
2026-07-16Turffontein?3rd3rd+0
2026-07-09Turffontein?10th9th+1
2026-06-18Vaal?1st1st+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0518/0630/0710/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength45%

Delivery trend -6.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/05/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
21/05/202614th9/153%13%-0.39
04/06/20267th18/15%54%+0.49
18/06/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
09/07/202610th18/15%18%+0.13
16/07/20263rd20/10%78%+0.78
30/07/20267th16/116%50%+0.34
08/08/20263rd4/179%71%-0.08
10/09/20267th7/282%14%-0.67