Red Sparrow
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 61
Turffontein · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Fm 72 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 1m 209y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 7.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Vaal | ? | 5th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Vaal | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Vaal | ? | 9th | 9th | −0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Turffontein | ? | 9th | 9th | −0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Vaal | ? | 7th | 7th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 23/04/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 04/05/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 18/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 21/07/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/07/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 13/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 10/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |