8

The Mightiest

5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 41

Turffontein · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Fm 72 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 1m 209y

#9

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. Twelve runs since last win in 2025. 25/1, below form sixth of 12 in handicap at Vaal (7f, good to soft) 10 days ago. Back up in trip. Expected to be bang there.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength55%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Turffontein 23/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 7f210y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS23/04C6C5 @ Vaal 04/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Vaal 21/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS21/05C6C7 @ Turffontein 04/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Vaal 25/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13325/06C7C6 @ Turffontein 09/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 117 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Turffontein 21/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13321/07C7C7 @ Vaal 27/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 133C7 @ Vaal 17/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y GS 13217/09C7projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Vaal?6th6th−0
2026-08-27Vaal?6th6th−0
2026-07-21Turffontein?2nd2nd−0
2026-07-09Turffontein?9th8th+1
2026-06-25Vaal?2nd2nd−0
2026-06-04Turffontein?10th10th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/044/0621/0717/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength52%

Delivery trend -0.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/04/202612th20/10%8%+0.08
04/05/20264th33/10%57%+0.57
21/05/20269th22/10%0%0.00
04/06/202610th22/10%10%+0.10
25/06/20262nd11/142%91%+0.49
09/07/20269th13/266%27%-0.39
21/07/20262nd9/153%88%+0.35
27/08/20266th7/163%44%-0.19
17/09/20266th20/10%55%+0.55