9

Xtatic

3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 79

Turffontein · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Fm 72 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 1m 209y

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

11%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner at Vaal in August. 25/2, creditable second of 8 in handicap at Vaal (8.4f, good to soft) 17 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Vaal 31/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13231/03C8C8 @ Vaal 19/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12619/08C8C8 @ Vaal 27/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 12627/08C8C7 @ Vaal 10/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m99y GS 12210/09C7projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Vaal?2nd2nd−0
2026-08-27Vaal?1st3rd−1
2026-08-19Vaal?6th8th−1
2026-03-31Vaal?9th11th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0319/0827/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +19.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/03/20269th80/10%20%+0.20
19/08/20266th14/126%50%+0.24
27/08/20261st22/10%100%+1.00
10/09/20262nd14/126%86%+0.59