8

Blushing Bloom

4yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 75

Turffontein · www.tab.co.za Fm 98 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 5f 212y

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

7/2, career best when winning 10-runner handicap at this course (7.2f, good). Off 108 days.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turffontein 23/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13223/06C8C8 @ Turffontein 10/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 127C8 @ Vaal 31/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12631/07C8C7 @ Turffontein 17/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 127C7 @ Turffontein 16/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13116/10C7C6 @ Vaal 10/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 132C5 @ Vaal 05/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 116 · HIGHER CLASS5/03C5C6 @ Vaal 02/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 128C6 @ Turffontein 11/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 12711/06C6projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-11Turffontein?1st2nd−1
2026-04-02Vaal?5th6th−1
2026-03-05Vaal?4th4th+0
2026-02-10Vaal?5th7th−1
2025-10-16Turffontein?5th7th−1
2025-08-17Turffontein?2nd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0617/085/0311/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength70%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/06/20254th10/147%67%+0.19
10/07/20252nd5/174%86%+0.12
31/07/20251st4/596%100%+0.04
17/08/20252nd2/189%80%-0.09
16/10/20255th4/179%33%-0.46
10/02/20265th20/10%56%+0.56
05/03/20264th20/10%25%+0.25
02/04/20265th12/137%20%-0.17
11/06/20261st11/486%100%+0.14