2
Bright And Brazen
4yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 32
Turffontein · www.tab.co.za Fm 98 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 5f 212y
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength53%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Turffontein | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-28 | Turffontein | ? | 6th | 6th | −0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-19 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-12 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength2%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 18/12/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 22/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 12/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 12/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 28/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 12/09/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |