6
Doesyourmotherknow
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 88
Turffontein · www.tab.co.za Fm 98 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 5f 212y
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength51%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | -4th | +5 |
| 2026-06-06 | Greyville | ? | 9th | 4th | +4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-03-12 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-01-11 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +25.4% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 12/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 14/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 06/06/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |