5
Perfect Sky
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 94
Turffontein · www.tab.co.za Fm 98 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 5f 212y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
56%
Place Prob
44%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength58%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | -4th | +5 |
| 2026-06-27 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Greyville | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2026-05-16 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-01-29 | Vaal | ? | 4th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +19.4% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/01/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 1/5 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |