4
Trip Of Faith
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 81
Turffontein · www.tab.co.za Fm 98 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 5f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
38%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Vaal | ? | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Greyville | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Vaal | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-19 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength77%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 19/03/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 02/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 38% | -0.05 |
| 29/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |