4
Got The Look
4yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 23
Turffontein · Next Turffontein Racemeeting Saturday 3 October Fm 81 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 5f 212y
#9
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength51%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Kenilworth | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Kenilworth | 4 | 12th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-01-21 | Durbanville | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-12-21 | Kenilworth | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2025-11-10 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-10-18 | Durbanville | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 9-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 21/06/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 09/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/6 | 96% | 86% | -0.11 |
| 18/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 91% | -0.03 |
| 10/11/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 21/12/2025 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 10% | -0.53 |
| 21/01/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 22/02/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 21/06/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |