5
Grande Hawaii
3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 14
Turffontein · Next Turffontein Racemeeting Saturday 3 October Fm 81 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 5f 212y
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Greyville | ? | 13th | 6th | +6 |
| 2026-05-10 | Turffontein | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Vaal | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-02-14 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength44%
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 78% | -0.08 |
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 10/05/2026 | 9th | 9/4 | 88% | 11% | -0.77 |
| 26/07/2026 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |