10

Kylie's Angel
6yo Mare · 8-3 · OR 54
Turffontein · Next Turffontein Racemeeting Saturday 3 October Fm 81 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 5f 212y
#10
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Vaal | ? | 3rd | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Vaal | ? | 8th | 8th | −0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Vaal | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Turffontein | ? | 5th | 6th | −0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Vaal | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength94%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 11/06/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 25/06/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 16/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 30/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 13/08/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 17/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |