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3yo Filly · 8-13

Turffontein · Next Turffontein Racemeeting Saturday 3 October Fm 81 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 5f 212y

#3

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

1 win from 1 run this year. 10/1, won 8-runner minor event at Vaal (6f, good) 59 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Expected to be bang there.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Vaal 30/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13230/07C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Vaal?1st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/20261st8/158%100%+0.42