Princess Ilaria
7yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 60
Turffontein · Next Turffontein Racemeeting Saturday 3 October Fm 81 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 5f 212y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Turffontein | ? | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Vaal | ? | 5th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Vaal | ? | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Vaal | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 4th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 08/01/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 07/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 02/04/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 14% | -0.28 |
| 21/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 02/07/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |