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3

Sigrid Swing

6yo Mare · 9-2 · OR 55

Turffontein · Next Turffontein Racemeeting Saturday 3 October Fm 81 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 5f 212y

#8

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Latest win at Vaal in April. 16/1, seventh of 8 in handicap at this C&D (good) 29 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength65%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Vaal 18/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 12918/12C7C7 @ Vaal 08/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 131C6 @ Turffontein 01/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1281/02C6C0 @ Turffontein 26/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 125C6 @ Vaal 21/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 5f212y GS 119 · HIGHER CLASS21/04C6C6 @ Vaal 28/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 128C6 @ Vaal 25/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS25/06C6C5 @ Turffontein 16/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Turffontein 29/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASS29/08C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Turffontein?7th5th+2
2026-07-16Turffontein?3rd2nd+1
2026-06-25Vaal?9th9th+0
2026-05-28Vaal?5th5th−0
2026-04-21Vaal?1st1st+0
2026-02-26Turffontein?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/1226/0225/0629/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength38%

Delivery trend +8.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/12/20258th9/276%13%-0.64
08/01/20263rd7/491%67%-0.24
01/02/20265th3/184%56%-0.29
26/02/20267th25/10%0%0.00
21/04/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
28/05/20265th3/184%56%-0.29
25/06/20269th18/15%11%+0.06
16/07/20263rd28/10%78%+0.78
29/08/20267th12/137%14%-0.23