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3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 75

Turffontein · Next Turffontein Racemeeting Saturday 3 October Fm 81 Divided Handicap (F & M) · 5f 212y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

69%

Place Prob

56%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. 1 win from 3 runs this year. Winner here in June. Third of 7 in minor event at this C&D (good, 9/4) 29 days ago. Makes handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turffontein 14/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13214/06C8C0 @ Turffontein 21/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 5f103y Gd 13221/07C?C5 @ Turffontein 29/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS29/08C5projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Turffontein?3rd1st+2
2026-07-21Turffontein?3rd3rd0
2026-06-14Turffontein?1st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0621/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength21%

Delivery trend -24.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/06/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
21/07/20263rd9/488%50%-0.38
29/08/20263rd2/189%67%-0.23