11
Lionel Mearas
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De La Correze - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#7
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Enghien | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Vincennes | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-09 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-06 | Vincennes | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Vincennes | 3 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -15.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 92% | +0.50 |
| 06/02/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 85% | +0.19 |