8
Mourillon
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De La Correze - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Enghien | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-19 | Vincennes | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Laval | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength80%
Delivery trend +4.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 26/01/2026 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 70% | +0.02 |
| 19/05/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 86% | -0.10 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 91% | +0.75 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 85% | +0.48 |
| 04/09/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |