6

Magic Instinct
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Radio Alfa (de Chaumont) - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#11
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Les Sables | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-07 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-18 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Vincennes | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Vire | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -7.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 89% | +0.84 |
| 01/11/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 13/11/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 06/12/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 17/12/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 18/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 85% | +0.43 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 18/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |