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10

Match Bocneuf

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Radio Alfa (de Chaumont) - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Agen 15/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 015/09C?C0 @ Nantes 05/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 05/11C?2 @ Agen 14/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 014/0224 @ Vincennes 03/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 03/044C0 @ Les Sables 03/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 03/09C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Les Sables?4th4th0
2026-04-03Vincennes41st1st0
2026-02-14Agen25th5th0
2025-11-05Nantes?3rd3rd0
2025-09-15Agen?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/095/1114/023/043/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +11.3% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/09/20252nd5/493%92%-0.01
05/11/20253rd18/15%87%+0.81
14/02/20265th11/271%60%-0.11
03/04/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
03/09/20264th40/10%75%+0.75