5
Misterioso
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Radio Alfa (de Chaumont) - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
84%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Enghien | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | La Capelle | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | La Capelle | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | La Capelle | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength79%
Delivery trend -6.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 26/08/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 15/04/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 03/05/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 14/06/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 01/09/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |