11

Misthos Christal
4yo Colt · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Radio Alfa (de Chaumont) - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Enghien | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Cabourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Vincennes | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Vincennes | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Vincennes | 4 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 38% | -0.49 |
| 27/08/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 18/10/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 06/12/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 10/04/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.44 |
| 21/07/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |