3
Montjoie
4yo Colt · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Radio Alfa (de Chaumont) - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Enghien | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-13 | Enghien | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-24 | Pornichet | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 10-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 24/07/2025 | 3rd | 8/11 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 13/08/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/7 | 97% | 88% | -0.09 |
| 24/08/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 56% | -0.35 |