2
Nachyma Berry
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Px Fidelidade Assurances (px De Troyes) - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#5
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | Vincennes | 2 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-16 | Vincennes | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-27 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Vincennes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -14.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |
| 12/12/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 19/12/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 27/01/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 78% | +0.12 |
| 16/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |