3
Nantus D'avignere
3yo Colt · 0-0
Vincennes · Px Fidelidade Assurances (px De Troyes) - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#10
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | La Capelle | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Enghien | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength95%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 12/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 02/06/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 16/06/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 24/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 02/09/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 64% | -0.07 |