6

Nemrod Burois
3yo Colt · 0-0
Vincennes · Px Fidelidade Assurances (px De Troyes) - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Vincennes | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Pornichet | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Vincennes | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength78%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 27/03/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 28/04/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 89% | +0.84 |
| 19/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 64% | -0.13 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 85% | +0.69 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 29/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |