7
Nikita
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Px Fidelidade Assurances (px De Troyes) - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#6
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Vincennes | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-29 | Vincennes | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Vincennes | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 90% | +0.01 |
| 17/01/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 07/02/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 63% | +0.57 |
| 27/03/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 17/04/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 06/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 19/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 85% | +0.08 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |