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10

Nobel Du Rib

3yo Colt · 0-0

Vincennes · Px Fidelidade Assurances (px De Troyes) - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#2

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 1.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Caen 25/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 025/045C0 @ Argentan 11/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 011/05C?C0 @ Vincennes 02/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 02/06C?C0 @ Enghien 29/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 029/06C?2 @ Enghien 08/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 08/0821 @ Vincennes 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 029/0811 @ Vincennes 12/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 012/091projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Vincennes13rd3rd0
2026-08-29Vincennes12nd2nd0
2026-08-08Enghien21st1st0
2026-06-29Enghien?3rd3rd0
2026-06-02Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2026-05-11Argentan?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0429/0612/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.9% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/04/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
11/05/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
02/06/20262nd11/893%92%-0.01
29/06/20263rd9/153%82%+0.29
08/08/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
29/08/20262nd14/126%91%+0.65
12/09/20263rd5/174%86%+0.12